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CEO Tenure Under Pressure: Low TSRs Drive Changes and Succession Challenges

Michelle Kellett by Michelle Kellett
November 4, 2024
in Business ☆ Finance
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Report: In Today's Cutthroat Competition, Low-Performing CEOs Have Less Chance of Keeping Their Job

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CEOs are facing mounting pressure to deliver—or increasingly risk being shown the door. The correlation is growing between total shareholder returns (TSR) and CEOs staying on the job: 42% of S&P 500 companies that changed CEOs in 2024 had a TSR that fell below the 25th percentile, indicating low performance. This share marks a steady increase from 30% in 2017.

That is according to a new report by The Conference Board, ESGAUGE, Heidrick & Struggles, and Semler Brossy. The study examines several aspects of CEO succession, including a gender analysis: While the share of women CEOs has grown, the vast majority (69%) of incoming female CEOs are being hired by smaller firms with less than $5 billion in revenue. Only one appointment was made at a company with over $25 billion in revenue.

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The study also reveals that CEOs are staying in their roles longer. For example, succession rates for those aged 64 and older dropped by 8% in 2024. “The fact that CEOs are staying longer may point to a ‘retirement cliff’ on the horizon. Boards need to refine their succession strategies to ensure they’re prepared for a potential wave of leadership transitions in the near future,” said Matteo Tonello, coauthor of the report and Head of TCB Benchmarking and Analytics at The Conference Board.

Michelle Kellett

Michelle Kellett

Deputy Editor, Investing and Corporate News

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